Wilma, the last Hurricane name of this season,....
Greetings all,
Lets pray this blows apart,no one's in the mood..
http:/
This blew by us last Monday-Tuesday. The islands cancelled school for a day because of the rain and flooding.
regards,
Bruce
St. Croix
Hola,
Here is the lastest update.
http:/
168 knots and 884 mb pressure ,...we have another Cat 5.
Caution to all.
South Florida, better make plans.
regards,.
Bruce
St. Croix
USVI
more..
...here is the sat pic,....pressure is lower now,...882mb
http:/
Bruce
St. Croix
882mb!? Good Gawd. That's lowest ever for Atlantic Basin isn't it? Looks like they're predicting it to cover about 1200 miles in 48 hours after turning right...along with some pretty good weakening (we hope). The speed means it won't be over Florida for long - but it also means that it will not loose as much punch by the time it gets to the east coast via land.

..check out the new comuter models,..it puts a crossing at PG, Florida, to Lake O...to exit north of Ft. Pierce,...and travel up the East Coast of the USA...
...only predictions and anything can change,..if you are between Tampa and Naples,..HEADS UP!
regards,
Bruce
St. Croix

Loaded up on fuel for the genny and misc supplies today. A couple stations were out already. Charlie worked us over in the biggidy O the worst last time around, and this looks to be a cc, but stronger at this point. Good luck everybody.
Hopefully it won't effect our T500 beaches. Ophelia put a hurt on the east coast earlier this year, but of course, it's the left coast that deserves the attention right now.
NOAA pretty much said that they don't know where this thing is going to go at the moment...
OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...HAS COMPLETELY COLLAPSED TODAY. THE
06Z RUNS OF THE GFS...GFDL...AND NOGAPS MODELS ACCELERATED WILMA
RAPIDLY TOWARD NEW ENGLAND UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LARGE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ALL THREE OF THESE
MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF OF THIS SOLUTION...WITH THE GFDL SHOWING AN
EXTREME CHANGE...WITH ITS 5-DAY POSITION SHIFTING A MERE 1650 NMI
FROM ITS PREVIOUS POSITION IN MAINE TO THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
THERE IS ALMOST AS MUCH SPREAD IN THE 5-DAY POSITIONS OF THE 12Z
GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...WHICH RANGE FROM THE YUCATAN TO WELL EAST OF
THE DELMARVA PENINSULA. WHAT THIS ILLUSTRATES IS THE EXTREME
SENSITIVITY OF WILMA'S FUTURE TRACK TO ITS INTERACTION WITH THE
GREAT LAKES LOW. OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WILMA HAS BEEN
MOVING SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OR SOUTH OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE...AND
THE LEFT-MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SOLUTIONS ARE NOW SHOWING WILMA
DELAYING OR MISSING THE CONNECTION WITH THE LOW. I HAVE SLOWED THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST JUST A LITTLE BIT AT THIS TIME...BUT IF WILMA
CONTINUES TO MOVE MORE TO THE LEFT THAN EXPECTED...SUBSTANTIAL
CHANGES TO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAY HAVE TO BE MADE DOWN THE LINE.
NEEDLESS TO SAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST TRACK...ESPECIALLY THE
TIMING...HAS DECREASED CONSIDERABLY.
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