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Wilma, the last Hurricane name of this season,....

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Bruce
(@brobru)
Posts: 547
Chief Registered
Topic starter
 
[#16418]

Greetings all,

Lets pray this blows apart,no one's in the mood..

http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlstorm24/stormtrack_large.html

This blew by us last Monday-Tuesday. The islands cancelled school for a day because of the rain and flooding.

regards,

Bruce
St. Croix


 
Posted : October 16, 2005 8:23 pm
BobG
 BobG
(@drayfisher)
Posts: 570
Member
 

It's not how hard the wind is blowin. It's what the wind is blowin! A Volvo! Ron White "They call me Tater Salad". Funny how the storm looks like its meandering into Nicuagua on the loop.


 
Posted : October 17, 2005 8:45 am
Bruce
(@brobru)
Posts: 547
Chief Registered
Topic starter
 

Hola,

Here is the lastest update.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/190851.shtml?

168 knots and 884 mb pressure ,...we have another Cat 5.

Caution to all.

South Florida, better make plans.

regards,.

Bruce
St. Croix
USVI


 
Posted : October 19, 2005 7:06 am
Bruce
(@brobru)
Posts: 547
Chief Registered
Topic starter
 

more..

...here is the sat pic,....pressure is lower now,...882mb

http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlstorm24/caribbeansatellite_large.html

Bruce
St. Croix


 
Posted : October 19, 2005 7:28 am
Jake Kohl
(@jake)
Posts: 11744
Three Star Admiral Registered
 

882mb!? Good Gawd. That's lowest ever for Atlantic Basin isn't it? Looks like they're predicting it to cover about 1200 miles in 48 hours after turning right...along with some pretty good weakening (we hope). The speed means it won't be over Florida for long - but it also means that it will not loose as much punch by the time it gets to the east coast via land.


 
Posted : October 19, 2005 8:25 am
PTP
 PTP
(@CaptainPP)
Posts: 2684
Captain Registered
 

These hurricanes never maintain that level of intensity- but if it did ... 175mph? Not pleasant. I rode out Dennis and it went right over my house- and I figure that was 70-80mph for maybe 15 min and it scared the crap out of me.


 
Posted : October 19, 2005 9:38 am
(@dbncsu)
Posts: 460
Mate Registered
 

Yes, that's the lowest ever for the Atlantic Basin. I can't believe how small that eye is.


 
Posted : October 19, 2005 9:38 am
Bruce
(@brobru)
Posts: 547
Chief Registered
Topic starter
 

..check out the new comuter models,..it puts a crossing at PG, Florida, to Lake O...to exit north of Ft. Pierce,...and travel up the East Coast of the USA...

...only predictions and anything can change,..if you are between Tampa and Naples,..HEADS UP!

regards,

Bruce
St. Croix


 
Posted : October 19, 2005 11:21 am
scooby_simon
(@simonJlongstaff)
Posts: 3496
Captain Registered
 

Holey moley.

Good luck everyone.


 
Posted : October 19, 2005 2:32 pm
(@_removed-account)
Posts: 15030
Four Star Admiral Registered
 

Loaded up on fuel for the genny and misc supplies today. A couple stations were out already. Charlie worked us over in the biggidy O the worst last time around, and this looks to be a cc, but stronger at this point. Good luck everybody.

Hopefully it won't effect our T500 beaches. Ophelia put a hurt on the east coast earlier this year, but of course, it's the left coast that deserves the attention right now.


 
Posted : October 19, 2005 4:05 pm
Jake Kohl
(@jake)
Posts: 11744
Three Star Admiral Registered
 

NOAA pretty much said that they don't know where this thing is going to go at the moment...

Quote
AGREEMENT AMONG THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS...WHICH HAD BEEN VERY GOOD
OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...HAS COMPLETELY COLLAPSED TODAY. THE
06Z RUNS OF THE GFS...GFDL...AND NOGAPS MODELS ACCELERATED WILMA
RAPIDLY TOWARD NEW ENGLAND UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LARGE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ALL THREE OF THESE
MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF OF THIS SOLUTION...WITH THE GFDL SHOWING AN
EXTREME CHANGE...WITH ITS 5-DAY POSITION SHIFTING A MERE 1650 NMI
FROM ITS PREVIOUS POSITION IN MAINE TO THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
THERE IS ALMOST AS MUCH SPREAD IN THE 5-DAY POSITIONS OF THE 12Z
GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...WHICH RANGE FROM THE YUCATAN TO WELL EAST OF
THE DELMARVA PENINSULA. WHAT THIS ILLUSTRATES IS THE EXTREME
SENSITIVITY OF WILMA'S FUTURE TRACK TO ITS INTERACTION WITH THE
GREAT LAKES LOW. OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WILMA HAS BEEN
MOVING SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OR SOUTH OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE...AND
THE LEFT-MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SOLUTIONS ARE NOW SHOWING WILMA
DELAYING OR MISSING THE CONNECTION WITH THE LOW. I HAVE SLOWED THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST JUST A LITTLE BIT AT THIS TIME...BUT IF WILMA
CONTINUES TO MOVE MORE TO THE LEFT THAN EXPECTED...SUBSTANTIAL
CHANGES TO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAY HAVE TO BE MADE DOWN THE LINE.
NEEDLESS TO SAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST TRACK...ESPECIALLY THE
TIMING...HAS DECREASED CONSIDERABLY.

 
Posted : October 19, 2005 6:31 pm
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